According to the latest report from S&P Global Market Intelligence, India is poised to become the world’s third-largest economy, surpassing Japan by 2030. The report anticipates that India’s GDP will double, reaching $7.3 trillion, up from $3.5 trillion in 2022. This rapid economic growth will lead to India overtaking Japan as the second-largest economy in the Asia-Pacific region. Currently, Japan holds the third position globally, following the United States and China.
The substantial increase in foreign direct investment into India over the past decade reflects the promising long-term growth prospects of the Indian economy. This growth is driven by a youthful demographic profile and rapidly rising urban household incomes. By 2022, India’s GDP had already exceeded that of the United Kingdom and France. The report also predicts that by 2030, India’s GDP will surpass Germany’s.
Notably, Japan is expected to slip to the fourth position in the world economy rankings based on US dollar valuation, as Germany takes over the third spot. The International Monetary Fund’s projections support this change.
India stands out as an outperformer in the emerging market landscape, with the private sector experiencing the second-fastest sales growth in over 13 years, contributing to overall economic expansion. While Russia reported robust growth, mainland China’s expansion slowed, and Brazil faced economic contraction during the survey period, as highlighted by S&P.
The report also underscores the global economic slowdown, which reached its lowest point in eight months by the end of the third quarter. Furthermore, the first contraction in global new orders and a significant decrease in work backlogs suggest potential weaknesses in the coming months.